Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.379994 0.503020 0.644735 0.817702 1.020767 1.249354 1.523824
2025-11-23 0.215228 0.361063 0.555062 0.821076 1.165489 1.586016 2.127618
2025-11-30 0.136449 0.290833 0.525973 0.881827 1.379092 2.023311 2.894127
2025-12-07 0.083013 0.230795 0.489449 0.918604 1.559404 2.431097 3.655323
2025-12-14 0.047076 0.178663 0.445948 0.930952 1.700280 2.792246 4.375988
2025-12-21 0.023462 0.132247 0.394018 0.914892 1.790884 3.084228 5.015165
2025-12-28 0.011977 0.104304 0.365887 0.930087 1.925868 3.442880 5.759173
2026-01-04 0.005208 0.080183 0.335026 0.931566 2.034535 3.764686 6.461114
2026-01-11 0.001485 0.056836 0.293407 0.901189 2.082647 3.993274 7.033933
2026-01-18 0.000246 0.040317 0.260078 0.878755 2.138700 4.232964 7.627998
2026-01-25 0.000014 0.030480 0.241323 0.883374 2.241600 4.549030 8.344013
2026-02-01 NaN 0.020172 0.211022 0.852525 2.272805 4.747836 8.886445
2026-02-08 NaN 0.016703 0.208805 0.893481 2.449110 5.198633 9.838202
2026-02-15 NaN 0.011839 0.193482 0.896200 2.549571 5.527113 10.611587
2026-02-22 NaN 0.010645 0.199655 0.960283 2.779304 6.083466 11.756315
2026-03-01 NaN 0.008610 0.197318 0.999065 2.958892 6.559768 12.786403
2026-03-08 NaN 0.006175 0.187191 1.012036 3.084460 6.946377 13.683135
2026-03-15 NaN 0.003700 0.169067 0.994946 3.143154 7.216979 14.400125
2026-03-22 NaN 0.002524 0.161635 1.011026 3.274856 7.620153 15.338452
2026-03-29 NaN 0.001508 0.150894 1.012578 3.373175 7.965526 16.188993
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000620 0.132533 0.980359 3.390727 8.164113 16.803011
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000209 0.117796 0.956555 3.424699 8.392353 17.469220
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000075 0.110617 0.961455 3.527113 8.749816 18.356101